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Mets Offseason Update

December 27, 2007

Mets sign reliever Matt Wise. The 40 man roster stands at 36.

My favorite reliever Pedro Feliciano now has a child.

Pedro Feliciano, wife, and child

Mets are still in chats about Mighty Johan Santana, Eliminator of Batters, according to LaVelle Neal’s Star-Tribune blog.

The Mets are also in talks with former Twin Kyle Lohse (an “innings eater”):

It’s believed the Mets have made an offer to the 29-year-old for four years, but it’s not known if it is for the $10 million Per he is seeking….

Lohse was paid $4.2 million last year, when he worked for the Reds and Phillies and went a combined 9-12 with a 4.62 ERA. He was 3-0 with a 4.72 ERA in 13 games (11 starts) for the Phillies after being acquired at the deadline.

In the incredible boredom of the baseball off-season, Amazin’ Avenue has a complete set of projections for the next season vs. projected average production based on plausible starters using the CHONE system. The upshot:

Soup-to-nuts, the Mets are average or better at every position, and exceedingly better than average in center and at third, with shortstop having a decent shot at that group, too.

Soup-to-nuts, the Mets are average or better at every position, and exceedingly better than average in center and at third, with shortstop having a decent shot at that group, too.

A couple from the MetsGeek blog:

* Who Are These Mets? What defines the Mets’ organizational identity? Broken down into strengths: Major League Scouting (acquisition of players for overrated skills, and making good large and small signings), a Willingness to Spend Big, and Brand Image (credibility for the organization that was sorely lacking); and weaknesses: Loyalty to Veterans (trading for Luis Castillo and playing him over Ruben Gotay’s hot hitting streak featured here), Aggressiveness With Prospects (young players having to impress or sit), and Ignorance of Marginal Value.

* An analysis of the Matt Wise signing, with a link to the Brew Crew’s take on the trades (wherein the Mets dump some trash and the Brewers pick it up):

Let’s review the transactions here:

1. Brewers traded Johnny Estrada to the Mets instead of non-tendering him.
2. Brewers acquire Guillermo Mota in the deal, along with his $3.2MM salary for 2008. Mets fans rejoice.
3. Mets get a better catcher and non-tender Estrada. That’s what we probably would’ve done, so the Mets literally dumped Mota’s contract on us.
4. We have a roster crunch and have to non-tender Matt Wise. Mota may be the worst pitcher in the pen right now, so we basically kept Mota instead of Wise.
5. Mets sign Wise, probably for less than half of what the Brewers will pay Mota.

Short version: the Brewers traded Matt Wise for Guillermo Mota and took on an extra $1.5-2MM to do so.

The only way this is defensible to me AT ALL is if the Brewers know something about Mota or Wise that we don’t know. Maybe Mota is ready to bounce back (though he doesn’t have that lengthy of a good track record) and maybe Wise really is done after hitting Pedro Lopez in the face. I guess we’ll see. It’s also possible that, when Melvin traded for Mota, he couldn’t imagine that he’d be able to get three more superior relievers in Gagne, Riske, and Torres, and didn’t think Mota’s acquisition would mean we couldn’t keep Wise.

But, regardless of the thought process, this doesn’t make me happy. I wasn’t happy about losing Wise before, but losing Wise to the Mets is even more obnoxious.

For the record, my projections have Mota pitching 68 innings with an ERA of 4.48, 25 walks and 48 strikeouts. Wise projects with an ERA of 4.56, 61 IP, 20 walks and 42 K’s. I would’ve thought Wise would come out a little better, but that’s a projection for Miller Park with the Brewers defense, so it’s probably almost identical if you neutralize everything. I’d certainly bet on Wise to have the better year. Either way, even if the results are similar, the Brewers are going to pay more for their middle reliever.

And The Mets Are Better Than Sex gives us an Anna Benson picture.

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